Is Iran our Poland, or could It be our Alsace–Lorraine?

 I have watched as my own country, the United States of America, followed in the footsteps that Germany created  years ago. Israel has served as our Japan, being basically our very violent police station in the worlds oil patch. Where Germany first grabbed a few countries that could not defend themselves, we have grabbed Venezuela and now are attempting to add Iran to our list of semi-conquered middle eastern satellite countries.

The question that i examine here is: what will be the first country to fight strongly against the US?
and further: When will the rest of the world declare war on the US? I am equating our Venezuela 'affair', where we seized the largest oil reserve on the continent, with Germany's unopposed expansion into Czechoslovakia

. If you will allow that, then Iran is our Poland? This is the first country to put up any kind of resistance to the Blitzkrieg, or 'lightening war'. Poland's resistance was short lived, and they fought alone. If no country steps in to arm and support Iran, it may fall quickly. However, looking at how long Gaza resisted, it is also likely that either china or Russia will welcome the chance to repay us for our support of Taiwan and Ukraine by supplying a never ending armada of cheap drones to Iran.

After seeing a city the size of Manhattan be completely destroyed with the people still trapped within the city, and still resist military defeat for two years, IT seems pretty unlikely that Iran can be quickly defeated. We must keep in mind the lessons from Ukraine. What was to be a one week war to quickly regain a state that had strayed from the USSR is still not over, and is now resulting in damage to major cities in Russia as well as expense and casualties that are hamstringing the Russian economy.

I suggest that there is some chance that Iran will be our 'Alsace–Lorraine', where other countries do join in and declare war against the US and Israel. Our side began with a surprise attack on a girls elementary school, as well as on hospitals and gathering places. Iran is a sovereign country, and we made our pearl harbor sneak attack against them by performing a double tap on a girls school? Such a start signals genocidal intent from the first blow. It is the same with hospitals. When you start right in destroying all medical facilities, you are announcing to the world that there are absolutely no rules to the engagement, and that war crimes are allowed.

Finally, I ask, are there any other signs of oncoming world war? we are looking for telltales that we have seen near the start of other world wars:

pandemics;
racially based outbursts against hated groups;
new prison camps;
strife and civil war in many countries.

First, how can disease be tied to war in any way? 

War is a breeding ground for disease. Usually, way more people die of infection, disease and famine than from spear wounds, gunshot wounds, or bombing. The most costly pandemic in recent memory was the 1918 flu, and that was spread by ww 1 quite directly. War squeezes people together under great stress, while they are starving and injured. Israel recently weaponized disease by totally enclosing the Gazans and then allowing them no food or water, while destroying all homes, hospitals, water treatment and sewage infrastructure. then, they chased them from place to place sniping at them and bombing whatever makeshift structures that they manage to build.

What does racial hatred or new prison camps have to do with world war? Scapegoating, or choosing a racial group to take the blame for bad outcomes is not new. In fact, it has become a political platform in the US. illegal immigration was used by Donald Trump to regain the white house even after a failed coup attempt. Once the big round up began, citizens of the US found out that it was really a way to punish democratic run cities with a brutal and unregulated form of marshal law. In fact, the murderous masked goons of ICE can easily be compared to Hitlers brown-shirts. Despots like to lead with a big round-up of some kind of really bad people. It allows them to build a vast secret police network, and a system of prison camps. Camps that will eventually house 'far left democrats' right along with 'criminal illegal aliens'. Camps that will invariably solve their overcrowding problem in the same obvious way that occurred to the Germans.

As far as racial violence and civil war, wouldn't these difficulties actually preclude or prevent a world war? In the past, we have seen a connection between racial violence and big wars. The US civil war is an example. In fact, the US civil war began with Lincoln freeing the slaves in the south, while leaving northern slaves in captivity. It is really ironic if you dwell on it.

Race riots in Chicago and other cities took place in 1919, and in 1921, The Greenwood area of Tulsa Oklahoma was destroyed. It appears that a population will attack itself before it lashes out against other countries.
So, race riots and civil war do not prevent world war. In fact, they seem to lead into it naturally.

Suggestions: how can we avoid repeating the errors made by Nazi Germany? 

I have asked myself a funny question. We are very far down the path to world war. We have purposely elected a sort of king who has gutted the government, eliminating oversight on the branches of government, and oversight of industry. We have softened up the world with economic turbulence, and now we are reaching out with our sea and air forces to make the US larger. We are also still funding a giant genocide in Gaza while we attempt to control the oil output of the entire continent of North and south America. Having attacked 2 countries with cowardly surprise attacks, we are waiting to see if the rest of the world will ever try to stop us.

Politicians used to get into trouble for enjoying a consenting blow job in the oval office. But now, we have what is possibly the most glaring and amazing double standard in US history. We are imprisoning working families that hopped the border illegally, while our president, who has already been convicted of massive fraud and felony sex offenses, gamely tries to cover up evidence of what he and his best friend did to young girls. The same fellow has managed to pack the senate, the house, and the supreme court with total loyalists, extract billions of US dollars [and a jumbo jet?] into his own pocket, and has engaged his own private army of masked secret police.

So yea, the only way to avoid world war is to dump Trump along with his whole dog and pony show! It is funny that we had such high hopes for a lifetime criminal with such an accomplished list of financial and sexual convictions. He did what he has always done: a giant bait and switch, where you get exactly the opposite of what was promised. Instead of peace and prosperity, we now know know war in several countries, federal agents pepper spraying and shooting citizens in US cities, and a fully broken health care system, without even the band-aid provided by the affordable care act.

This is all pretty dire stuff, so i will remind the reader that we also have the best screens and computers in history, [by far]. The US is still a melting pot, even if we have briefly stopped adding new metal to the pot. And, even though there is lots of fighting and trouble, you have to admit that this is an interesting little slice of history to experience. My father lived through a world war, and I read about it, but I did not expect to see another one so soon. And, until about 10 years ago, i never would have guessed that the United States would turn out to be the aggressor that every other country has to fight against.

Science conjecture: does the big bang explode in both directions of time?

 

 I had a realization a while back. It is not really science, but rather, it is more like religious conjecture. I wondered about what happened before the big bang. What would cause a black hole the size of the universe to explode?

We know that in the world of tiny objects like particles, that every single thing that can happen needs to be reversible. So, if light hits an atom, and an electron jumps to a higher orbit, it must also be possible for an electron to fall to a lower orbit and emit light. The light 'particle' was absorbed by the atom because it had the difference in energies between the lower and the higher electron orbit. And, the light that is produced by the reciprocal degradation of the electrons orbit is of the same color or energy that was needed to boost it. 

There is only an arrow of time for collections of particles. You can see a video of an egg breaking, and know that you are viewing the video in the correct direction, because you never see eggs un-breaking. This is not the case on the particle scale. Every particle interaction can go in either direction, so you would not be able to tell if a video of a particle event is shown in the right direction.

A video of the last few bits of matter falling into a universe sized black hole would be going in the right direction, because black holes do not release matter [other than Hawking radiation]. However, once the last bit of matter had passed the event horizon, we have a different situation. While there is matter outside of the singularity, the hole has spin in reference to the matter outside. But, once there is nothing outside to compare with, the hole no longer spins or moves through space. There is a lot of matter inside the hole, but it can no longer store it's state and the arrow of time points in either direction. It is essentially a single particle, that is absolutely motionless and without spin. Even Hawking radiation would cease, because there are no atoms near the singularity to be torn apart into particles and antiparticles.

Once the hole has lost all of its personality, the arrow of time is not defined, and it is free to reverse and explode. There can not be an observer, of course, because any particle or object outside the hole would give it a proper motion and spin. The arrow of time would not be able to switch directions. there might not be any 'space' outside of the singularity during the 'interval' that it was entirely collapsed. I would use the word 'time', but time itself might not exist right 'then'. Time itself might require some matter outside of a single universe sized black hole.

Although there can be no observer, the particle that is the compressed universe explodes in both directions of times arrow. After it gets very large and cool, it may collapse again, to repeat endlessly. explode, collapse, explode, collapse... like breathing!

Another Hitler Olympics!

The first Hitler Olympics was held in 1936 in Berlin, Germany.
It was a showcase where the Nazis could demonstrate their genetic superiority, as well as their military might. The announcement that Trumps shock troops, [also called ICE], will be attending the Olympics in Italy has reminded me strongly of Hitlers rise to power.

ICE are not ordinary cops, that should be deployed in a city environment. They are would be mercenaries and pardoned Jan 6 rioters who have proved their worth in Minneapolis. They have killed and beaten undocumented immigrants and citizens alike, and then lied about each of their outbreaks of extreme violence.

 

It is quite chilling that these brutal thugs are heading to Europe. what good could US immigration possibly do in Europe? will they again be deployed to escalate peaceful protests into beatings and shootings?
Maybe Europe will decide to hand over Greenland after yet another demonstration of US brutality?

What benefits have the citizens of the US seen from Trumps authoritarian tactics and threats? 

1. instead of becoming a US state, Canada has stopped trading with us, and taken up with China instead.

2. Venezuela was attacked, and their leader kidnapped. Yet, no American company wants to drill for oil there. We have killed sailors and taken oil tankers, but really, what we did was wean the world from using the US dollar for trade. The US is no longer trusted, except to bore dignitaries with stupid, insulting, Trumpian diatribes.

3. The trump regime is lead by a child trafficker. Any Epstein papers that are released while one of the main offenders is president will have him blacked out. When he is finally deposed, Trump will amaze the world with the extent of his crimes, both sexual and fraudulent. Potus and his reliable cabinet will move from DC to various federal prisons. For now, the American people are skipping vaccines, getting much less medical and food help. Predatory corporations are being allowed to defraud them without any oversight. 


4. NATO has been effectively dissolved. In fact, Trump has proposed that we might start to grab parts of Europe. He has also told Europe that they are on their own, and no longer protected by the US. This effects US citizens because these policies will clearly lead to a US civil war, or a world war fought right here in the lower 48 states.

5 Having a convicted sex offender and scammer in the white house makes these types of crimes seem OK. When wealthy fraudsters or sex offenders are caught, they can buy a pardon after a short stay in jail. The whole US citizenry feels that it is slightly more OK to use violence, abuse or traffic women, or to cheat vulnerable people. When we are lead by a violent narcissist, we all become a little more like our leader.

 

6 Some immigrants have been removed from the US, but so far, it has been the day laborers and nannies that have been picked like low hanging fruits. We actually need all the gardeners and roofers and fruit pickers. We had hoped to get rid of rapists and murderers, but they can resist ICE very easily. The cost of a small number of removals is too high. We now have a huge army of thugs that answer only to Trump. They are tearing through democratic cities. Can you beat and threaten the democracy right out of people? I guess that we will see during the midterms. If Minnesota votes republican, I will eat some very dirty socks as well as my hat.

7. The stupid tariffs are just a way for Trump to get a huge amount of tax-payer money to spend on his private army and his golden ballroom. They have not worked at all, except to empower china, and force European companies from the US. At one point, we even goaded China into offering to stop shipments of rare earth elements to the US. OOOPs! That would kill the biggest scam that we have now. 

8. The biggest scam ever attempted is the AI bubble. AI investment is making the US economy look OK by pouring money into data centers that are not needed or desired. You may remember China building fake cities to falsely inflate their economy. Data centers are being rammed down Americas throat. The tech bros stood behind trump after they helped elect him. Now, he is returning the favor by letting them totally defraud us. The US economy is collapsing FAST! This will be quite obvious when the AI bubble pops. The various companies are not developing true artificial intelligence. Current AI is more of a tool for fraud and surveillance. Large language models were never a path to general AI. They will be used by the government to further control every aspect of American life. Every keystroke made, and photo kept by each citizen will be stored in those data centers, and they will be organized by AI agents so that dissidents can be quickly and secretly disappeared.


What can we do, you may ask! I would say that we can vote with our wallets, even if the voting system is lost to the authoritarian regime. But, our wallets have already been pinched with hidden taxes so that many more Americans are living hand to mouth. It is hard to purchase with high ideals when you cant buy the food that you need, or see a doctor when you are ill. It is our responsibility to watch events very carefully. We can try not to give in to hatred while the folks who have given in make the world dangerous and miserable. And, just like in the period after the Hitler Olympics, we can settle in for a very long period of disruption with war, famine, disasters and pandemics the whole way. In 1936, they still had a few years of troubled peace, followed by 5 years of war. You will remember that Hitler conquered the first few countries before war was declared. It will bring to mind our poke at Venezuela and our greed for Canada and Greenland. Like Hitler, Trump can move into a few nearby countries before our expansion triggers some larger countries to declare war.

 

The course of a world war seems predictable if we look back. We get our Czechoslovakia, and maybe our Poland. When we move into our 'France'  to capture the resources there [Greenland?], many countries will fight us. At first, they will be reluctant, and will loose badly. Just little incidents of fighting will occur on US soil. Most of the bombing runs, and the land and sea battles will take place elsewhere. Then, we will need to make more parts for the ships and planes, and we will find out that we are very dependent on the countries that we are fighting. Later, more countries will join our foes [likely we will betray some, like Germany betrayed the Soviets.] Just like it did in ww2, the fighting will come to be entirely within the instigating country. That means the bombing of American cities until most lie in rubble, and eventually, the landing of a multinational armada that works it's way slowly across the US. And, that prediction is for the case where the Nukes are left in their happy silos and submarines. Since Nukes exist in such great numbers, we can not rest assured that they will never be used.

 

Putin threatened to use nukes a lot of times, but he never actually came close to using nukes in his war with the former soviet state that is now the country of Ukraine. In fact, he has only used a few of his vast stockpile of hyper-sonic missiles. Drones and Russian young men are way cheaper. I do not feel the same about Donald Trump. you could hurt his feelings too much, by [for example] withholding a peace prize after he had instantly resolved 253 wars that have been going for well over 2000 years.

 

No, Donald will do anything, and no one can stop him [other than his super strong conscience, wink wink]. He might be the perfect storm, that ends American control of the world and American prosperity right along with the American economy.

 

i will end on a good note:

butterflies and rainbows for everyone!